Introduction
Introduction
Rapid population growth has shown
its adverse effects at the national as well as at the family level. At the
national level, it is the cause of poverty, low level of living, malnutrition,
ill health, environmental degradation, and many other social problems. At the
family level, big-sized families usually find it difficult to support their
children, potentially leading to malnutrition, poor health and inability to
afford education for their children. Therefore, rapid population growth has
been the concern of several countries, especially LDCs including Vietnam.
The government
of Vietnam has formally introduced and implemented population and family
planning (PFP) programs since the early 1960s. However, up to the year 1992,
the implementation of PFP programs in Vietnam had shown to be ineffective. In
addition, the pressure of population growth on the economy necessitated
appropriate population policies. For those reasons, two important documents
related to PFP policies were introduced: Resolution No. 4 on Population
Policies, Population and Family Planning Strategy to the year 2000. These two
documents marked the turn in the enactment of Vietnam population policies.
Recently, the introduction of the two documents -Vietnam Population Strategy
in the stage 2001-2010, and National Target Program on Population and Family
Planning to the year 2005- has emphasized the increasing concern on PFP
problems by the government.
Up to now, PFP programs in Vietnam
has achieved certain results. Total fertility rate declined rapidly from 4.0
in 1988 to 3.2 in 1994 and 2.3 in 1997. The crude birth rates go down from
28.5%o in 1993 to 21.9%o in 1997 and 19.9%o in 1999. However, fertility
decline is unstable. Fertility level continues to decline in high-fertility
provinces. However, fertility level begins to rise again in provinces where
fertility has declined to replacement level or lower. Although population
growth rate has declined, it is still high. In addition, the age structure is
very youthful in Vietnam where 33.5 percent of the population is less than 15
years old in the year 1999. This age structure will create very large number
of people in the reproductive age in the near future - a main source for rapid
population growth. To achieve the decline in fertility is difficult. It is
more difficult to maintain this declining trend. Therefore, population with
the goal of birth control is still a problem of the leading worthwhile concern
in Vietnam.
Contraceptive use plays an
important role among affecting factors on fertility. The current situation of
contraceptive use in Vietnam shows that overall contraceptive prevalence rate
is rather high of 75.82 percent. However, the prevalence of modern methods
only accounts for 54.56 percent. The traditional methods still make up 28.04 %
of contraceptive use. The large extent of the use of traditional methods means
that many women who would like to plan their families are not using the most
effective methods to do so and are likely to continue to have unwanted
children. Therefore, it will be especially important to ensure that household
accept the use of the modern methods so that the goal of maintaining the
declining trend in fertility, and above all the goal of attaining population
stability will be achieved.
To clarify what policies should be
implemented to increase the use of modern contraception, it is necessary to
understand the factors behind modern contraceptive use. The main purpose of
the research, therefore, is to answer the crucial question: "What are the
determinants of modern contraceptive use in Vietnam?" To date, there have
been some researches considering contraceptive use in Vietnam including Pham
Thanh Nhiem (1999), Nguyen Minh Thang et al. (1992), and NCPFP (2000d).
However, most of the previous studies were not carried out in a comprehensive
and systematic way on this topic. Moreover, these studies use data that are
either old (Pham Thanh Nhiem using data from VLSS1992-93) or coming from other
source like DHS (Nguyen Minh Thang et al. using data from DHS1988 and
NCPFP using data from DHS1997). Therefore, together with trying to answer the
above central question using data from VLSS1997-98, the author will make
comparison where possible.
In the thesis an overview about
contraceptive choice in Vietnam will be examined. Then the focus will be on
the factors explaining modern contraceptive use. Empirical studies often
divide determinants of modern contraceptive use into individual
characteristics (women’s socioeconomic background) and community
characteristics (family planning efforts). However, in the thesis the author
concentrates only on individual characteristics. The reasons are: firstly,
previous studies showed insignificant effects of community variables on modern
contraceptive use; secondly, in some instances, family planning programs
appear to work best where people are motivated to reduce family size by using
contraception; finally, the author would like to narrow the scope of study to
concentrate more on individual or women’s socioeconomic background. The
research hypothesis coming from the above research question is that the
variation in modern contraceptive use should be explained by the variation in
individual characteristics.
In addressing the research question,
qualitative method is used, including review of historical trends,
descriptive, analytical and comparative methods. Besides, quantitative method
(econometric modeling or logistic model) is extensively used. The maximum
likelihood method available in STATA software package is used to estimate the
parameters of logistic model. STATA software package is also used to process
the necessary data to examine the current contraceptive choice in Vietnam.
Data used in the analysis are
secondary data extracted from the VLSS97-98. This survey was implemented by
General Statistical Office under the financial support of the UNDP and the
SIDA and the technical assistance from the World Bank and several independent
consultants. Moreover, tertiary data from the National Committee for
Population and Family Planning (NCPFP), Demographic and Health Survey (DHS),
Vietnam Living Standards Survey 1992-93, the 1989 and 1999 Census and previous
studies of other authors are also used.
The thesis consists of three chapters.
Chapter I is the theoretical frameworks. Chapter II mentions the PFP and
presents a descriptive analysis of the use of contraception in Vietnam.
Chapter III uses logistic regression model to examine the factors affecting
modern contraceptive use in Vietnam. Drawing some conclusions and suggesting
some policy recommendations concludes the thesis.
Chapter 1: Theoretical frameworks
In this chapter, first of all, concepts
used in the thesis will be clarified. Then theoretical and empirical approach
to factors affecting modern contraceptive use will be examined. Finally, the
role of contraceptive use will be presented.
1/ Major concepts
Contraceptive prevalence rate is the percentage of married women currently
using contraception. The crude birthrate is the yearly number of live
births per thousand of population. Total fertility rate is the average
number of children a woman would have assuming that current age-specific
birthrates remain constant throughout her childbearing years, 15-49 years of
age. Replacement level of fertility indicates two children per family.
Modern contraceptive method:
modern methods are generally
categorized as "clinic" and "supply" methods. Supply methods are available
from both clinic and non-clinic sources, and thus do not necessarily require a
clinic visit. The main supply methods are pills, condoms and vaginal barrier
methods. These are temporary (or short-acting) contraceptives that require the
user to obtain a regular supply or re-supply. Clinic methods, on the contrary,
require a clinic visit or a medical intervention. The main clinic methods are
the longer-acting methods such as injections, IUDs, implants or methods
intended to provide "permanent" protection against the risk of pregnancy such
as female and male surgical sterilization. All methods except permanent
methods are reversible methods. In general, clinic methods are far more
effective at preventing pregnancy than the supply methods. However, the
effectiveness of any reversible methods depends to a large extent on
appropriate and consistent use.
Traditional contraceptive methods:
the methods classified as "traditional"
are also called "non-supply" methods, under the assumption that these methods
do not require access to supply sources. Among the traditional methods, the
most widely used ones are periodic abstinence and withdrawal. Periodic
abstinence refers principally to the rhythm (or "calendar rhythm") method. In
general, and on average, these traditional methods are much less effective at
preventing pregnancy than modern methods. However, their effectiveness depends
to a large extent on correct and consistent use. Other traditional methods
include post-coital douching for contraceptive purposes and a variety of folk
methods that are for the most part unique to a specific culture or location
such as herbs, amulets, charms or spells to prevent conception. The
contraceptive efficacy of this group remains largely unproven.
Although
postnatal sexual abstinence, breast-feeding, morning after pill and abortion
may result in lower fertility, most demographic analyses do not consider them
contraceptive methods.
The terms
"modern" and "traditional" methods used in this thesis are classified based on
the above-mentioned concepts and the questionnaires in VLSS. Specifically,
modern methods include IUD; condoms; female sterilization; male sterilization;
pill; injection and diaphragm/jelly/foam. Traditional methods consist of
rhythm, withdrawal and herbal medicine.
As far as specific contraceptive methods are
concerned, condom is the only method that can prevent both pregnancy and STDs,
HIV/AIDS. To some extent, vaginal barrier methods reduce the risk of STD
transmission. However, these methods are less effective for preventing
pregnancy than other modern methods. All contraceptive methods except
sterilization are reversible. Most methods related to mechanical devices or
hormones more or less result in side effects. Most contraceptive methods are
for women. All of these features affect contraceptive choice in Vietnam that
will be discussed in chapter 2.
2/ Factors affecting modern
contraceptive use
Fertility
decline results from the increase in contraceptive use or the rise in abortion
rate. The invention of modern birth control methods has led people to use
contraception to avoid unwanted pregnancy instead of undergoing abortion.
Therefore, the decline in fertility mainly comes from the increase in
contraception. Basing on this argument, the author assumes that factors
affecting fertility also have an influence on contraception. Therefore,
theories of fertility are studied to be the theoretical framework for
examining contraception. Specifically, those theories are the Malthusian
Population Trap; the microeconomic household theory of fertility; modern
theories of fertility. It should be noted here that all these theories
don't specify all factors affecting modern contraceptive use. However, the
theories explain to certain extent the effects of some factors such as income
and lay the foundation for examining the effects of other factors such as
education, income, area of residence, son preference on modern contraceptive
use.
The Malthusian population trap
hypothesized that the relationship between income and fertility is positive.
The microeconomic household theory
of fertility looks at
fertility behavior at micro-level using the traditional neoclassical theory of
consumer choice to explain family size decisions. In this theory, children are
considered as a special kind of consumption good costing time and money and
providing benefits to parents. Fertility behavior is seen as the result of
rational choice of maximizing utility of the household under the constraint of
price, time and income. Parents make rational choice between having their own
children or other consumption goods to maximize their satisfaction. Fertility
decline is explained by the changes in household income and the cost of
children. Specifically, other factors are held constant, the higher household
income, the higher desired number of children, the higher the cost of
children, the lower desired number of children. The cost of children includes
the direct cost and opportunity cost. The increase in direct cost is due to
the market demand for higher quality of children, which leads to higher demand
for education and health expenditure on children. The increase in opportunity
cost relates to the value of parents’ time in the market, especially mother’s
time. Here, the positive relationship between fertility and household income
in not strong. It depends on the sources of increased income. For example, if
income rise results from an increase in women’s employment opportunity in the
market, and if the effect of opportunity cost of women’s time on fertility
outweigh the effect of income, there will be a fall in fertility. Obviously,
the relationship is now negative.
Modern theories
of fertility:
Modern theories of fertility try to explain how people use the available
mechanisms for determining the number of births. One of the positions about
making decision on births is to use a cost-benefit calculus. Children impose
certain costs on their parents and confer certain benefits. It follows that to
reduce the birth rate, it will be necessary to raise the ratio of costs to
benefits. Another position about determinants of fertility is based on the
idea of rational choice. John Caldwell argues that the main reason why large
families are rational in traditional societies is that extended family
relationships cause net intergenerational wealth transfers to flow from
younger to older generations. As nuclear families become more common and the
emotional and economic ties between generations weaken in the course of
modernization, the direction of the intergenerational flow of wealth reverses.
Since parents must now transfer net wealth to their children, rather than
receiving net wealth from them, they opt to have fewer children.
The success of efforts to
promote greater modern contraceptive use will depend on an understanding of
the importance of factors affecting the use of modern contraception, which
consists of individual characteristics, community characteristics and
government’s population policies. As pointed out in the introduction section,
the author focuses only on individual characteristics. That is the reason why
individual characteristics are examined in more details in this chapter. The
theoretical basis as well as empirical studies has shown that women’s
individual characteristics affecting modern contraceptive use include the
followings:
- Household’s income: the
effect of household income on modern contraceptive use is ambiguous. Some
demographers hold that an increase in household income will result in a fall
in contraceptive use. The others support the positive relationship (This line
of argument has received substantial support from empirical studies in Nigeria
(Feyisetan and Ainsworth, 1996), Zimbabwe (Thomas and Maluccio, 1996)).
- Women’s schooling: women’s
schooling is posited to result in lower fertility and, by inference, higher
contraceptive use, through four main channels: income effects, higher demand
for child schooling, lower child mortality, more effective use of
contraception. Most studies (Ainsworth, Beeegle and Nyamete, 1996; Feyisetan
and Ainsworth, 1996; Thomas and Maluccio, 1996) find that women’s schooling
has a consistently strong positive relation with contraceptive use.
- Son preference:
couples with a son are more likely to use contraception than those
without him.
- Number of
living children: for parents, the number of living children or surviving
children is the desired number of children. In developing countries where
infant mortality rates are usually high, living children are an important
consideration. It is expected that the relationship between number of living
children and modern contraceptive use is nonlinear. Specifically, as the
number of living children rises, the use of modern contraception also
increases. However, when the number of living children continues to increase
to a certain extent, there is a tendency of falling use of modern
contraception.
- Women’s
religion and ethnic group: we expect an impact of women’s religion and ethnic
group on modern contraceptive use in the dimension that women with religion
and women in minority group are less likely to use modern contraception.
- Women’s area
and region of residence: contraceptive use is expected to be higher among
urban than rural women. Regional variation is expected to affect contraceptive
use also. This might reflect different socioeconomic circumstances across
regions.
3/ The role of contraceptive use
The final part of this chapter focus on the
in-depth analysis of the relationship between population and development and
of the role of contraceptive use in fertility reduction, protecting maternal
and child health, improving women’s status and above all in promoting economic
development.
Chapter 2:
Population and family planning in Vietnam
In this
chapter, an overview about population policies and family planning in Vietnam
and some typical results will be examined. Then more details will be focused on
current contraceptive choice in Vietnam.
1/ Population
policies and family planning programs in Vietnam and some typical results
Rapid population
growth has shown its adverse effects on socio-economic development. Therefore,
since the early 1960s, Vietnamese government has formally enacted population
policies addressing to birth control. During the 1961-1975 stage, population
policies were only carried out in Northern Vietnam with the name “guided birth
campaign” and then “planned birth campaign”. The target of the campaign was
3-child family. The campaign focused on women in reproductive age that already
had large number of children, specifically female civil servants, women in army
forces and women in populous plains. The program focused mainly on IUD
insertion. Contraceptive choice was determined by managers of planned birth
programs, not by users. As a result, the crude birth rate declined by 10.7%o
from 43.9%o
in the early 1960s to 33.2%o
in 1975.
Total fertility rate also went down from 6.39 to 5.25. In Southern Vietnam, the
government in Saigon did not begin to implement a family planning program until
it was advocated by the U.S. Agency for International Development in 1971. Due
to fierce war, family planning program was not commonly implemented.
After
reunification in the year 1975, population policies and family planning programs
were extended to all over the nation. The program was the expanded to include
all women in the reproductive age and men who had wives in
reproductive age. On June 30, 1989, the National Assembly passed the National
Health Law. This law established a legal basis for a policy of the people's
freedom to choose whatever contraceptive means they desired to implement family
planning. The tendency of population increase to offset the deaths in the war in
the south, then the Southwest and the North border wars hindered the
implementation of family planning program nationwide. Consequently, after 17
years from 1975 to 1992, the crude birth rate was reduced only by 3.16%o from
33.2%o in 1975 to 30.04%o in 1992. Total fertility rate (TFR) declined from 5.25
to 3.8 respectively.
In short, till the
year 1992, family planning-population policies had shown to be unsuccessful and
ineffective. Birthrate and TFR were high at 30.04%o and 3.8 respectively.
Moreover, the target of reducing population growth rate to 1.7% by 1990 wasn’t
attained. Rapid population growth was in fact a hindrance to Vietnam economy
where people’s living standards were still very low compared to the world.
Vietnam faced the danger of lagging behind if birthrates and population growth
rate were not restrained. For that reason, two important documents related to
PFP policies were introduced: Resolution No. 4 on Population Policies,
Population and Family Planning Strategy to the year 2000.
The general goal
of Resolution No. 4 is "Obtaining families with few children who are healthy to
allow a good living conditions". The specific goal is “Every husband and wife
should have only one or two children so that each family (each couple) will have
two children on social average by 2015, leading to a stabilization in the size
of the population in the middle of the 21st century. All efforts
should be made to have a clear change right in the 1990s.”
In order to
implement the goal, viewpoints and measures of Resolution No. 4, the Prime
Minister signed Decision 270/TTg on 03/06/1993 approving Population and Family
Planning Strategy to 2000, institutionalizing guideline, policies, measures and
developing effectively Resolution No. 4 in the stage 1993-2000. The Strategy set
the goals for the stage 1993-2000: “Quickly reducing the 3rd birth
rate so that TFR will be 2.9 or lower and population size will be less than 82
million people by the year 2000”.
Resolution
No. 4 and Population and Family Planning Strategy to the year 2000 were
successfully implemented. By the 1st July, 2000, Vietnam’s population
size was 77.68 million people, which was less than the set goal of 82 million
people in Population and Family Planning Strategy to 2000 by 4.32 million
people. This substantial reduction contributes much to socio-economic
development. The average population growth rate between the 1989 census and the
1999 census was 1.7%, which was the lowest in the past 45 years since
independence in 1954 in the North. Total fertility rate declined rapidly from
4.0 in 1988 to 3.2 in 1994 and 2.3 in 1997.
This
indicator shows once again the big success in
the implementation of the Strategy to the year 2000, where the set goal of TFR
by 2000 is 2.9. The crude birth rates go down from 28.5%o in 1993 to 21.9%o in
1997 and 19.9%o in 1999.
Recently, the
introduction of the two documents- Vietnam Population Strategy in the stage
2001-2010, and National Target Program on Population and Family Planning to the
year 20050- show that the focus of the population program has changed from a
strong focus on fertility control to more concern about quality of the family
planning program and improving the quality of the population. This is consistent
with the direction that was raised at the Cairo Conference on Population and
Development in 1994.
2/ Current
contraceptive choice in Vietnam:
Knowledge of
at least one contraceptive method had increased continuously since 1988 from 94
percent to 97 percent by 1994 and to 99.48% by 1997-1998. Up to 1998, knowledge
of at least one method had become almost universal. As far as specific methods
are concerned, there were marked increases in familiarity with each method
between the three surveys- DHS 1988, ICDS 1994 and VLSS97-98. For the IUD, there
is relatively little difference in levels of knowledge between the three
surveys. The high level of familiarity with the IUD reflects the historical
dominance of that method in the government family planning program.
Contraceptive awareness were rather equal by 1997-1998. More than 90% of women
surveyed indicated awareness of IUD, condoms, male and female sterilization.
Knowledge of traditional methods were also high, approximately 85%. Even vaginal
methods (Diaphragm, jelly), that are not yet widely available in Vietnam, are
familiar to nearly 15% of ever-married women. Knowledge of contraceptive methods
of ever married women improved greatly during the period 1992-1993 and 1997-1998
by all characteristics. According to VLSS 1992-1993, there were obvious
variations in contraceptive awareness by characteristics. Specifically,
contraceptive awareness was obviously higher among urban women, women living in
the Red River Delta, women with higher educational level, and women with 3-5
children. However, there were relatively small differences in level of
contraception knowledge by all characteristics in 1997-1998.
In term of source
of information supply on contraceptive methods, family planning clinic played
the most important role, then mass media, other medical facility and mass
organization. This is in compliance with the general guideline of government
programs, which underline
information –
education – communication (IEC) as the main tools. For traditional methods such
as rhythm method, withdrawal and herbal medicine, relative or husband or friend
also accounted for an important part in providing information on these
methods.Surprisingly, school played very little role in supplying information on
contraception. This shows that sexual education was still not introduced into
school.
Overall
contraceptive prevalence in Vietnam is high compared to LDCs’ rate (75.82
percent as compared to 67 percent) and has increased in the period 1992-93 and
1997-98. However, the use of modern methods is much lower than that of LDCs. In
Vietnam, 71.96 percent of currently married contraceptive users were practicing
modern contraception whereas modern methods accounted for 91 percent of total
contraceptive use in LDCs.
As far as specific contraceptive methods are
concerned, IUD was still the most widely used method of contraception by
1997-98. The second most commonly used method was traditional methods such as
withdrawal and rhythm. The high proportion of Vietnam women using traditional
methods means that there is considerable demand for family planning services
among the Vietnamese population, which has not been fully met by the current
family planning programs. Use of condoms, pill and sterilization, had increased
between 1993 and 1998 but was still low, which was 6.08 percent, 3.69 percent
and 6.6 percent respectively in VLSS97-98. Use of injection was extremely low,
only 0.18 percent. The use of most methods increased in 1997-1998 as compared to
1992-1993 only in absolute terms. However, their use declined in relative terms.
This reflects a more diverse use of contraception. The reasons for this
method-mix inVietnam are considered in detail in the final part of this chapter.
There
existed gender inequality in contraceptive use. Men still had very little
responsibility in the use of contraception. The vast majority of married
contraceptive users were women, which was shown in very high rate of use of IUD,
pill and female sterilization. These three main "female" methods accounted for
nearly two thirds of all contraceptive practice in Vietnam, whereas "male"
methods took a very small rate. Although sterilization procedures are available
for both men and women and male sterilization is simpler, safer and usually less
expensive procedure than female sterilization, female sterilization procedures
far outnumbered their male counterparts by 7.93 percent to 0.8 percent.
Contraceptive use was almost put on the shoulder of women.
Chapter 3: Determinants of modern
contraceptive use in Vietnam
The main focus in
this chapter is to study factors affecting whether a married woman aged 15-49
has access and desire to use a modern method of contraception. Firstly, the
empirical model for the analysis will be presented; Then bivariate and
multivariate analysis of modern contraceptive use will be examined.
1/ Empirical model:
In the study on “The Impact of women’s
Schooling on Fertility and Contraceptive Use: A Study of Fourteen Sub-Saharan
African Countries”, Ainsworth, Beegle and Nyamete used the following
reduced-form model for analyzing determinants of modern contraceptive use: y =
b0 + b1x1+b2x2
+b3x3
+b4x4
+b5x5
+b6x6+
m
where y is a dichotomous
dependent variable that takes on the value zero or one, indicating current use
of modern contraception; b0
is an intercept; x1 is the woman’s schooling; x2 indicates
urban residence; x3 is the woman’s ethnic group; x4 is the
woman’s region of residence; x5 is the woman’s religion; and x6
is a group of variables proxying the household’s income or wealth.
Basing on theoretical studies
presented in chapter I, the above-mentioned model, the particular purpose of the
research and the specific characteristics in Vietnam, the author suggests the
following model for analyzing the current use of modern contraception in
Vietnam: FC = FC(x1, x2, x3, x4, x5,
x6, x7, x72, x8)
(3.1).
Where FC is the current use of
modern contraception; x1 indicates urban residence; x2 is
woman’s region of residence; x3 is household’s income; x4
is the woman’s religion; x5 is the woman’s ethnic group; x6
is the woman’s education; x7 is the total living children the woman
has, entered in quadratic form; x8 indicates whether the woman has a
son.
Since the dependent variable is
dichotomous, taking a value of one or zero depending on whether a married woman
aged 15-49 is currently using a modern method of contraception or not. Logistic
model is used to estimate parameters of equation (3.1). As mentioned in the
introduction part, the data the author has at hand at individual level cannot be
used to estimate the logistic regression model by the standard OLS. Therefore,
the author uses the maximum likelihood method to estimate the parameters.
To examine
in more detail the nonlinearity of the effect of number of living children on
modern contraceptive use, specifically, to account for the fact that the use of
modern contraception rises with the total living children the woman has, peaks,
and then declines, the author controls for variables "Total living children"
and "number of living children squared" in the model.
In model (3.1), the dependent
variable is "Is a currently married woman in the reproductive age (15-49 years
of age) using a modern method of contraception". The dummy dependent variable
takes on the value 1 if the woman is using a modern method of contraception and
0 if she is not.
In VLSS 1997-1998, 4411
ever-married women aged 15-49 were asked about their contraceptive use. However,
only a sample of 4104 currently married women was asked about their current use
of contraception. That is the reason why only currently married women aged 15-49
are included to study the situation of current contraceptive use in Vietnam.
All the necessary independent
variables have been specified in model (3.1). The independent variables’
definitions as well as characteristics are shown in table 3.1. It should be
mentioned that:
- In the thesis the author use
expenditure quintiles as a proxy for income although data on income can be
collected in VLSS97-98. The reason is:
"First, consumption expenditure data are likely to be more accurate than income
data, because questions on expenditure are often easier to answer (in
particular, the self-employed have difficulty answering questions on income) and
because some households are reluctant to reveal their true income. Second,
income raises living standards only if it is consumed, and past income (savings)
or borrowing can be used for consumption purposes. Thus consumption data are
likely to reflect household’s welfare levels more accurately than would income
data." (Glewwe, Zaman and Gragnolati, 1999, p.3)
Table 3.1: Variables’ definitions and
characteristics
Variables
|
Number of women
(N) |
Percentage
(%) |
Urban/Rural residence
|
|
|
Urban
|
931 |
22.68 |
Rural
|
3,173 |
77.32 |
Woman’s region of residence
|
|
|
|
North Mountain & Midlands |
780 |
19.01 |
|
Red River Delta |
904 |
22.03 |
|
North Central Coast |
560 |
13.64 |
|
South Central Coast |
401 |
9.76 |
|
Central Highlands |
134 |
3.28 |
|
Southeast |
470 |
11.46 |
|
Mekong Delta |
854 |
20.82 |
Woman’s ethnic group
|
|
|
|
Minority |
565 |
13.78 |
|
Chinese and Kinh |
3,539 |
86.22 |
Expenditure quintile
(household's income)
|
|
|
|
Lowest |
793 |
19.32 |
|
Low-middle |
808 |
19.70 |
|
Middle |
838 |
20.43 |
|
Mid-upper |
819 |
19.96 |
|
Highest |
845 |
20.60 |
Woman’s religion
|
|
|
|
Others |
3,130 |
76.26 |
|
Buddhist |
678 |
16.51 |
|
Catholic |
297 |
7.23 |
Woman’s education
|
|
|
|
No education |
244 |
5.94 |
|
Primary |
1,289 |
31.42 |
|
Lower secondary |
1,825 |
44.46 |
|
Upper secondary |
648 |
15.78 |
|
University or higher |
98 |
2.40 |
Total living sons
|
|
|
|
None |
788 |
19.19 |
|
One or more |
3,316 |
80.81 |
Total living children
|
|
|
|
0 |
186 |
4.52 |
|
1-2 |
1,789 |
43.59 |
|
3-5 |
1,821 |
44.37 |
|
³
6 |
309 |
7.53 |
Source: Author’s calculation based on Vietnam
Living Standards Survey 1997-98
- In the model, family size is
represented by the total living children a couple has. Here, the total living
children not the total number of children is considered. This is because for
parents the number of living children is their desired number of children. And
it is this number of living children that affects their decision making on
whether to have more children and whether to use contraception or not. “Number
of children squared” is included in the model to explain its predicted nonlinear
effect on modern contraceptive practice.
2/ Bivariate analysis of modern
contraceptive use
Table 3.2 shows
the effect of individual characteristics on the use of modern contraception.
This is of interest to test the expectations discussed in chapter I about
factors affecting modern contraceptive use.
As shown in the table, the prevalence of modern
contraception is higher among urban than rural women. However, the difference is
not large. One possible reason is that urban women have higher use of
traditional methods. The other possible reason is that rural household finds the
participation of children in the household economy less important. This is
attributable to increasingly limited amount of agricultural land. Therefore, the
demand for children to guarantee labor supply for farming decreases and the
demand for contraceptive use increases in rural area. Better knowledge on
contraception of rural women between VLSS92-93 and VLSS97-98 is another reason
for high use rate of modern contraception in rural area.
Substantial regional variation in
current use of modern contraception is evident. Use of modern contraception
ranges from 30.6 percent of women in Central Highlands to 67.54 percent of
currently married women in Red River Delta. In general, use of modern methods is
noticeably lower in the three southernmost regions. It may be because use of
traditional methods is higher in these three regions. Another reason for higher
use of modern methods in the north than in the south is that family planning has
been implemented in the north in the early 1960s while it didn’t begin in the
south until it was advocated by the U.S. Agency for International Development in
1971. The distinctly lower level of modern method in the Central Highlands may
result from socio-economic, geographic and cultural characteristics of this
region. In developed region, women are generally characterized by lower demand
for children and hence higher demand for modern contraception and vice verse in
the less developed regions. The higher use rate in North Mountain and Midlands
can be explained by the early implementation of family planning programs in the
North in the early 1960s. The low level of modern contraception in Mekong Delta
region may reflect better agricultural opportunities in this region, which can
be seen from table 3.3. The table shows that the land area per capita under
annual crop, one of the main sources of farming households’ income, in the
Mekong River Delta is nearly three times as large as that in the Red River Delta
and The North Central Coast. Therefore, the demand for children to guarantee an
adequate labor supply for farming may be high, and hence modern contraceptive
use are low.
Modern
contraceptive use is higher for Chinese and Kinh group than for the minority.
This is what we expected. On the one hand, Chinese and Kinh group may have
better access to family planning. On the other hand, socioeconomic
characteristics, customs of marriage and reproductive practices lead to lower
use of contraception in minority group.
As far as religion is concerned, Buddhist and
Catholic women have lower level of modern contraceptive use.
Table 3.2: Current use of a Modern
Method of Contraception
by Selected Individual
Characteristics by Currently Married Women Aged 15-49
Variables
|
Number of women (N) |
Percentage
(%) |
Urban/Rural residence
|
|
|
Urban
|
556 |
59.78 |
Rural
|
1,834 |
57.81 |
Woman’s region of residence
|
|
|
|
North Mountain & Midlands |
499 |
63.96 |
|
Red River Delta |
611 |
67.54 |
|
North Central Coast |
347 |
62.09 |
|
South Central Coast |
229 |
57.21 |
|
Central Highlands |
41 |
30.60 |
|
Southeast |
252 |
53.53 |
|
Mekong Delta |
412 |
48.17 |
Woman’s ethnic group
|
|
|
Minority
|
309 |
54.64 |
|
Chinese and Kinh |
2,082 |
58.83 |
Expenditure quintile (household's income)
|
|
|
Lowest
|
449 |
56.62 |
|
Low-middle |
474 |
58.64 |
|
Middle |
481 |
57.34 |
|
Mid-upper |
500 |
61.10 |
|
Highest |
487 |
57.57 |
Woman’s religion
|
|
|
Others
|
1,901 |
60.75 |
|
Buddhist |
338 |
49.94 |
|
Catholic |
151 |
50.91 |
Woman’s education
|
|
|
|
No education |
108 |
44.28 |
Primary
|
686 |
53.19 |
Lower secondary
|
1,117 |
61.19 |
|
Upper secondary |
413 |
63.80 |
|
University or higher |
67 |
68.36 |
Total living sons
|
|
|
|
None |
328 |
41.64 |
|
One or more |
2,063 |
62.20 |
Total living children
|
|
|
|
0 |
13 |
6.92 |
|
1-2 |
1,064 |
59.50 |
|
3-5 |
1,167 |
64.11 |
|
³
6 |
146 |
47.37 |
Source: Author’s
calculation based on Vietnam Living Standards Survey1997-98
Table 3.3:
Agricultural and forestry land area per capita by type of land (m2)
|
|
Type of Land |
|
Region |
Annual Crop |
Perennial Crop |
Water Surface |
Forestry |
Other |
|
North Mountain & Midland |
| |