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Source: Author's calculation based on VLSS 97-98
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|
Age |
Per capita expenditure quintiles |
Total |
||||
|
Poor |
Poor-mid |
Mid |
Mid-Upper |
Upper |
||
|
0-4 |
13.85 |
27.31 |
35.44 |
70.32 |
62.77 |
30.72 |
|
5-14 |
14.13 |
26.23 |
28.89 |
42.18 |
59.82 |
24.52 |
|
15-29 |
22.40 |
25.12 |
31.87 |
65.87 |
75.14 |
39.93 |
|
30-44 |
25.95 |
38.44 |
60.31 |
76.14 |
80.67 |
51.10 |
|
45-59 |
49.74 |
33.29 |
48.58 |
53.06 |
128.27 |
59.62 |
|
60 and over |
28.47 |
46.18 |
74.69 |
96.84 |
97.74 |
67.22 |
|
Total |
22.93 |
32.38 |
46.49 |
68.01 |
88.76 |
45.51 |
Sources: Author's Calcualtion from VLSS 97-98
Individual behavior in health care utilization is also determined by education
level. People with higher education level tend to spend more for health care. In
the thesis, education level of an individual is classified into 5 levels: no
education, primary, lower secondary, upper secondary, and university.
· Health care expenditure by education level and per capita expenditure quintiles
The difference in health care expenditure by education levels can be observed more clearly by quintiles of per capita expenditure. Health care spending in each education level varies across expenditure quintiles. One surprise thing is that in the upper and mid-upper expenditure quintiles, health care expenditure of no education level is highest meanwhile university level spent least for medical care. This fact rises a question of whether higher level of education always associated with higher medical care expenditure, especially in the case of rural Vietnam.
Sex of an individual is one important factor that influences people's behavior in health care utilization. In reality, women tend to spend more for health care because of nature physical characteristics, i.e. women are weaker than men. Moreover, they have a natural function is to be mothers so their health wears away faster than men. In rural areas, especially, most of women have to work hard in agricultural sector that affects adversely their health status.
· Health care expenditure by gender and per capita expenditure quintiles
Medical care spending of female and male is different in each quintile of per capita expenditure. Poor women in rural areas have less access to health care services
Individual health care expenditure also varies across different regions because
each region has distinct features of geography, demography, and custom. For
rural areas, individuals in Mekong River Delta had the highest expenditure for
medical care and the lowest is in Northern Upland. This results from
socio-economic characteristics of these regions. In Mekong River Delta, one of
two main growing rice regions in Vietnam, farmers have relatively high income
from growing rice for export and domestic consumption. Moreover, in a delta
region people have more comfortable conditions (better transportation and health
care systems) to access health care services
|
Regions |
Rural |
Urban |
Whole country |
|
Northern Upland |
32.80 |
40.69 |
33.73 |
|
Red River Delta |
37.55 |
85.87 |
50.49 |
|
North Central Coast |
36.98 |
52.49 |
37.75 |
|
Central Coast |
49.38 |
50.47 |
49.69 |
|
Central Highlands |
51.54 |
|
51.54 |
|
Southeast |
55.37 |
103.05 |
78.10 |
|
Mekong River Delta |
63.40 |
82.42 |
66.72 |
|
Total |
45.51 |
79.93 |
52.70 |
Source: Author's Calculation base on VLSS 97-98
Health insurance is an important determinant of health care expenditure. In general, health insurance reduces the money payment for health care services so insured people have higher contact rates with health facilities.
Table 3.14 Health care expenditure by insurance ('000 dong)
|
Insurance |
Rural |
Urban |
Whole country |
|
Uninsured |
44.77 |
82.92 |
51.60 |
|
Insured |
50.70 |
72.13 |
58.63 |
|
Total |
45.51 |
79.93 |
52.70 |
In order to answer the main question of "What are key determinants of health care expenditure in rural Vietnam?", chapter IV will use quantitative method to analyze significance and magnitude of each factor's effect on health care expenditure in rural Vietnam.
This thesis mostly uses data source from The Vietnam Living Standard Survey 1997-1998, which is a large database related to many aspects of socio-economic life such as employment, education, fertility, and health. This is second survey carried out in Vietnam. The first survey was in 1992-1993. They were conducted by Vietnam General Statistical Office (GSO) with technical assistance of WB. Both surveys are nationally sampled of which the first survey was a sample of 4,800 households and the second one was 6,000 households.
In this chapter, the thesis will use the econometric models to explain behavior of individuals in health care utilization in rural areas. A three-step analysis will be used. In the first step, a logistic model will be used to examine what factors cause individuals to have sickness. In the next step, a logistic model is also used to point out what factors determine whether a sick individual will use medical care services. The last step is to answer the main question of the thesis is what determinants of health care expenditure are. In this step, the thesis will use Heckman method to estimate determinants of health care expenditure in rural Vietnam.
· Dependent Variables: There are three dependent variables:
-A dummy variable is used in the first step that has a value of 1 if an individual get sick or injury in the 4 weeks before survey, and of 0 otherwise.
- In the logistic model of second step, the dependent variable is also a dummy variable that is set equal to 1 if a sick individual get medical care services, and to 0 otherwise.
- In the last model, the dependent variable is logarithm of expenditure on health care
· Independent variables
- Gender: This is a dummy variable that is set equal 1 if an individual is a male and 0 otherwise.
- Age: This variable will used in all three models. In the thesis, the age of an individual calculated in years.
- Insurance: In econometric models, insurance is a dummy variable that has value 1 if a person is insured and 0 otherwise.
- Education: Education is classified into 5 level as descriptive analysis in chapter III. In the models, 4 dummy variables will be used to present education level of an individual in which no education is omitted.
- Household size: Household size is the number of people in a household.
- Expenditure per capita: Expenditure per capita is a good proxy for an income variable. In the econometric model, expenditure is usually used rather than income variable.
- Regions: In Vietnam, the country is comprised of seven regions that are Northern Upland, Red River Delta, North Central Coast, Central Coast, Central Highlands, Southeast and Mekong River Delta. Northern Upland is used as a benchmark and six dummy variables are used for remaining regions.
- Health status: Based on VLSS 97-98, we can have information on health status of a person by considering pattern of illness that includes 10 types of disease as presented in figure 3.1. Each type of diseases is represented by one dummy variable that takes value 1 if a person have that disease.
The estimated results that are presented in this part are the best result. They are obtained after dropping insignificant variables. The basic criterion for dropping variables is p-value. If one variable has p-value higher 0.1 then it will be dropped. Therefore, some variables that are described in part 4.1 will not appear in estimated results .
The result of logistic model for estimating factors determining the probability of falling ill is showed in table 4.1. This table indicates that the probability of illness is determined by gender, age, age squared, household size, expenditure per capita, and regions.
According to table 4.1, gender variable has a expected sign that men have lower probability of falling ill. The age variable has a significant impact on health status. A negative sign of the age variable means that when age of an individual increases the probability of illness will reduces.
The household size variable has an unexpected impact on probability of illness. The estimated result shows that a person living in a larger household is less likely to fall ill, holding other variables unchanged.
|
|
Coefficients |
P-value |
New probability after unit change, given initial probability of 40% |
|
Dependent Variable: Illness (Yes=1) |
|
|
|
|
Independent Variables: |
|
|
|
|
Gender (Male=1)* |
-0.215 |
0.000 |
34.8 |
|
Age (year) |
-0.019 |
0.000 |
39.6 |
|
Age Squared |
0.0005 |
0.000 |
40.01 |
|
Expenditure per capita (million VND) |
-0.069 |
0.000 |
38.3 |
|
Household Size |
-0.095 |
0.000 |
37.7 |
|
Geographic Effects: |
|
|
|
|
Red River Delta* |
0.374 |
0.000 |
49.3 |
|
North Central Coast* |
0.397 |
0.000 |
49.8 |
|
Central Coast* |
0.121 |
0.031 |
43.0 |
|
Central Highlands* |
0.703 |
0.000 |
57.4 |
|
Southeast* |
0.500 |
0.000 |
52.4 |
|
Mekong River Delta* |
0.222 |
0.000 |
45.5 |
|
Constant |
0.119 |
0.113 |
|
Notes: Based on 20,858 observations. Pseudo R2=0.045. Omitted region is Northern Upland
(*) Marginal effect is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1
Source: Author's Estimation from VLSS 97-98
Expenditure per capita is another important variable. It is no surprise that expenditure is negatively associated with probability of getting sick.
The probability of getting sick varies across difference regions. The probability of illness is highest in Central Highlands. The lowest probability of illness is in Central Coast while the probability of getting sick is relative high in the region of Red River Delta. This is a unexpected result because rural people in delta regions have better living condition compared to other rural areas but this result is anticipated by descriptive analysis.
In the previous logistic model, significant factors determining the probability of illness have been pointed out. In this part, a logistic model will be used to estimate what factors determining whether a sick person get medical help or not that is shown in table 4.2.
The gender variable has a significant negative effect on probability of getting medical attention for sick individuals.
Age is a variable that has a significant negative effect on the probability of getting medical care but its magnitude is very small. This negative effect is a contrast to result of descriptive analysis in chapter III. Insurance variable has a positive effect on probability of getting health care services.
The probability of getting medical attention also depends on expenditure per capita. An individual with higher expenditure is more likely to get medical care services when s/he falls ill. This is an expected result. There are eight types of illness that have significant effects on probability of seeking medical care. They are cold, vomiting, respiratory, fever, infection, diarrhea, other diseases, and injury.
Table 4.2 Logistic model: Probability of getting Medical care
|
|
Coefficients |
P-value |
New probability after unit change, given initial probability of 30% |
|
Dependent Variable: getting medical care (Yes=1) |
|
|
|
|
Independent Variables: |
|
|
|
|
Gender (Male=1)* |
-0.137 |
0.006 |
27.3 |
|
Age (year) |
-0.002 |
0.043 |
30.0 |
|
Insurance (Yes=1) |
0.373 |
0.000 |
37.9 |
|
Expenditure per capita |
0.178 |
0.000 |
33.7 |
|
Type of Illness |
|
|
|
|
Cold |
-0.255 |
0.000 |
24.6 |
|
Vomiting |
0.595 |
0.000 |
42.4 |
|
Respiratory |
0.833 |
0.000 |
46.5 |
|
Fever |
0.819 |
0.000 |
46.4 |
|
Diarrhea |
0.298 |
0.008 |
35.6 |
|
Infection |
0.954 |
0.000 |
49.4 |
|
Other |
0.800 |
0.000 |
46.2 |
|
Injury |
1.338 |
0.000 |
59.5 |
|
Geographic Effects: |
|
|
|
|
Red River Delta* |
-0.069 |
0.430 |
28.7 |
|
North Central Coast* |
0.033 |
0.713 |
30.6 |
|
Central Coast* |
-0.561 |
0.000 |
19.8 |
|
Central Highlands* |
-0.059 |
0.573 |
28.8 |
|
Southeast* |
-0.586 |
0.000 |
19.3 |
|
Mekong River Delta* |
0.210 |
0.012 |
34.3 |
|
Constant |
-1.557 |
0.000 |
|
Note: Number of observation 8,934. Pseudo R2=0.068 This regression is for sick individuals. The omitted region is Northern Uplands.
(*) Marginal effect is for discrete change of dummy variable from 0 to 1
Source: Author's Estimation from VLSS 97-98
The estimated result shows that older people spend more for health care expenditure because older individuals often have more serious disease than young individuals. However, the effect of age variable on health care expenditure is very small.
Table 4.3 Model for determinants of health care expenditure (Heckman Method)
|
|
Coefficients |
P-value |
|
Dependent Variable: Log of expenditure on health care |
|
|
|
Independent Variables: |
|
|
|
Age (year) |
0.007 |
0.000 |
|
Household Size |
0.023 |
0.003 |
|
Log of Expenditure per capita |
0.587 |
0.000 |
|
Geographic Effects: |
|
|
|
Red River Delta |
-0.009 |
0.019 |
|
North Central Coast |
0.310 |
0.000 |
|
Central Coast |
0.506 |
0.000 |
|
Central Highlands |
1.176 |
0.000 |
|
Southeast |
0.278 |
0.000 |
|
Mekong River Delta |
0.381 |
0.000 |
|
Type of Illness |
|
|
|
Vomiting |
0.247 |
0.000 |
|
Respiratory |
0.293 |
0.000 |
|
Fever |
0.103 |
0.073 |
|
Other |
0.439 |
0.000 |
|
Injury |
0.756 |
0.000 |
|
Constant |
1.973 |
0.000 |
Note: Number of observations: 20,858 of which Censored observations: 13,425 and Uncensored observation: 7,433. The omitted region is Northern Uplands.
Source: Author's Estimation from VLSS 97-98
There is one point should be noted that the gender variable is not significant in determining health care expenditure.
Another important factor determining individual health care expenditure is the living standard that is measured by expenditure per capita. In rural areas, if expenditure per capita rises by 1%, then per capita health care expenditure will increase 0.6%. This result indicates that health care is not a luxury good for rural people.
Some points on geographic effects derive from the estimated result. The lowest health care spending is in Red River Delta region. While the highest health care expenditure is in Central Highlands where health care system is very poor and subsidy program was implemented late.
In regression result, five types of disease determine health care expenditure, they are vomiting, respiratory, fever, injury, and other. There are differences in spending for each type of disease. This reflects seriousness of different types of illness.
This final chapter will give some conclusions that summarize the main findings and result in the thesis. Based on these conclusions, policy recommendations will be suggested.
Health status of rural people is worse than urban people, as shown by the higher rate of illness in rural areas.
There is a difference in the number of visits to different types of health care providers. In rural areas, contacted rates of pharmacy, private facilities, and CHCs appear to dominate other types of providers. The ability of rural people to access government hospital is limited because of distance, especially in remote areas. Self-medication, the common problem in health care utilization of Vietnamese in general, is highlighted in the case of rural areas.
There are two main results related to gender issues in seeking health care. First, women are more likely to be ill and spend more for health care. Second, parents pay more attention to the health status of boys than girls in a household.
In the model for estimating the determinants of probability of getting medical care, there are 4 important findings. First, age has a negative impact on the probability of getting medical help. Second, the effect of insurance variable is positive (in the whole country, this variable has a negative effect). Third, per capita expenditure, which does not appear in the same model for the whole country, is significant in determining the probability of seeking medical care. Fourth, there are 8 types of illness that affect the probability of getting medical attention while in the country there are only 3 types of illness.
Health care expenditure is determined by living standards measured by per capita expenditure. Medical care spending varies across expenditure quintiles. Individuals with high expenditure spend more for health care. Meanwhile, low expenditure people are more likely to get sick but their expenditure for health care is lower.
Behavior of seeking health care is affected by geographic characteristics.
People in the Central Highlands suffer from the worst health status (the highest
rate of illness) and high costs of utilization due to the lack of government
subsidy for health care
In order to improve the quality and reduce costs of medical care in rural areas, the government should focus more on the health care system in rural areas by equipping CHCs with health care equipment and training professional staff for rural health care facilities. Improvement of CHCs is also a way to solve the overload problem in high level hospitals.
Programs of using mobile health workers should be enhanced to provide medical care service for people in isolated regions. In addition, developing rural infrastructure, especially the transport system, is a key policy to promote health care utilization in rural areas.
The highest number of visit to drugs vendors without prescription of professional practitioners indicates that there is an excessive reliance on self-medication. Self-medication is very dangerous so it is necessary to propagate the importance of safe drug usage, especially in rural areas where access to health care information is limited.
The new voluntary health insurance program should be expanded because it can reduce the heavy reliance on self-medication that is the main problem in behavior of seeking medical care not only in rural but also in urban areas.
In order to have more comprehensive analysis of determinants of health care expenditure more information on health care should be collected such as information on quality and price of medical care, and individual's insurance status.
